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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.15+5.07vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+3.79vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.75+8.24vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.18+2.24vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.06+1.45vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.40+3.16vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.65+1.06vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.35-2.45vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.50-0.27vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.33-4.42vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.36-1.75vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-2.81vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.82-1.80vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.82-2.78vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.86-4.11vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.28-3.11vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.07Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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5.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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11.24Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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6.24Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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6.45Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.16Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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8.06Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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5.55Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.73Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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5.58Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.25University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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9.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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11.2Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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11.22Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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10.89Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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12.89University of Vermont1.280.0%1st Place
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15.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Reineke | 11.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Haig | 11.5% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Slack | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 6.1% |
| Hannah Steadman | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Talia Toland | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Maia Agerup | 13.1% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.5% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 6.2% |
| Grace Vincens | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 4.7% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.3% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 4.3% |
| Elizabeth Holiman | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 21.0% | 13.1% |
| Megan Laurie | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 13.7% | 60.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.