← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania3.63+2.46vs Predicted
-
2Monmouth University0.98+8.61vs Predicted
-
3Ocean County College2.88+2.21vs Predicted
-
4William and Mary2.13+3.52vs Predicted
-
5Stevens Institute of Technology2.75+0.79vs Predicted
-
6Columbia University2.13+1.56vs Predicted
-
7Rochester Institute of Technology1.85+1.27vs Predicted
-
9Fordham University2.50-2.57vs Predicted
-
12University of Virginia3.54-8.40vs Predicted
-
13Princeton University1.74-4.22vs Predicted
-
14Cornell University2.48-7.42vs Predicted
-
15George Washington University1.30-4.84vs Predicted
-
16Queen's University1.77-7.16vs Predicted
-
17St. John's College-0.84-3.02vs Predicted
-
18Colgate University-0.28-4.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.46University of Pennsylvania3.630.2%1st Place
-
10.61Monmouth University0.980.0%1st Place
-
5.21Ocean County College2.880.1%1st Place
-
7.52William and Mary2.130.0%1st Place
-
5.79Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.1%1st Place
-
7.56Columbia University2.130.0%1st Place
-
8.27Rochester Institute of Technology1.850.0%1st Place
-
6.43Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
-
3.6University of Virginia3.540.2%1st Place
-
8.78Princeton University1.740.0%1st Place
-
6.58Cornell University2.480.1%1st Place
-
10.16George Washington University1.300.0%1st Place
-
8.84Queen's University1.770.0%1st Place
-
13.98St. John's College-0.840.0%1st Place
-
13.2Colgate University-0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halsey Richartz | 24.0% | 18.1% | 17.2% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Luisi | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 14.5% | 20.3% | 14.3% | 3.8% |
| Tyler Kennedy | 10.5% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Clark | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Gerard Tonachel | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| David Coplon | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Geoff Williams | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 20.3% | 19.2% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Marzulli | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 5.5% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Koeniger | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 19.5% | 9.1% | 2.0% |
| Matthew Sullivan | 2.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Luke Wakeen | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 23.1% | 58.7% |
| Chloe Smith | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 6.2% | 10.9% | 35.4% | 33.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.