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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+4.73vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.40+6.86vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.33+2.70vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.15+2.30vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.18+1.00vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.35-0.26vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.50+1.65vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+1.02vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.06-2.30vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.82+1.00vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.36-1.72vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.65-3.95vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.28-0.06vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.86-2.86vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.75-3.71vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.82-4.87vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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8.86Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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5.7Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.3Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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6.0Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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5.74Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.65Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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9.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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6.7Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.0Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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9.28University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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8.05Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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12.94University of Vermont1.280.0%1st Place
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11.14Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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11.29Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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11.13Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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15.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Haig | 12.0% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Maia Agerup | 10.1% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Grace Vincens | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 3.8% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Holiman | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 15.3% | 20.1% | 15.5% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 4.1% |
| Kelsey Slack | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 5.3% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 5.5% |
| Megan Laurie | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 12.3% | 61.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.