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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.35+4.54vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+7.12vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.15+3.32vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.33+1.78vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.86+5.69vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+0.10vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.72-2.48vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.50+0.42vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.82+2.20vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.06-3.53vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.65-2.83vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.40-3.12vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.28-0.25vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.75-2.65vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.36-5.93vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18-0.65vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.10-3.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.54Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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6.32Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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5.78Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.69Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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6.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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4.52Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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8.42Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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11.2Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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6.47Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.17Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.88Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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12.75University of Vermont1.280.0%1st Place
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11.35Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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9.07University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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15.35Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.0%1st Place
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13.29Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia Agerup | 12.7% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Sophia Reineke | 9.9% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.4% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 4.5% |
| Emily Haig | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 15.4% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 3.7% |
| Audrey Giblin | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Talia Toland | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Holiman | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 16.4% | 18.3% | 11.6% |
| Kelsey Slack | 1.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 4.4% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Megan Laurie | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 14.5% | 55.6% |
| Lucie Ford | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 22.6% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.