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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+4.84vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+3.57vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.40+5.96vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.06+2.68vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.72-0.55vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.15+0.46vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.65+1.06vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+0.96vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.75+2.36vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.50-1.48vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.28+1.77vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.86-1.20vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.36-3.75vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.35-8.26vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.82-4.06vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18-0.63vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.10-3.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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5.57Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.96Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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6.68Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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4.45Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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6.46Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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8.06Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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11.36Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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8.52Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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12.77University of Vermont1.280.0%1st Place
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10.8Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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9.25University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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5.74Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.94Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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15.37Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.0%1st Place
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13.26Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Haig | 11.4% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.5% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 17.4% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.9% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Kelsey Slack | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 4.2% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Elizabeth Holiman | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 20.6% | 13.8% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 3.3% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Maia Agerup | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 4.1% |
| Megan Laurie | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 15.2% | 54.8% |
| Lucie Ford | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 14.9% | 21.2% | 16.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.