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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.15+5.12vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.50+6.55vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.35+2.64vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+1.99vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.06+1.39vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.72-1.32vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.82+4.14vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.28+4.62vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.50-0.20vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.86+0.96vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.33-5.17vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.75-0.73vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.82-1.82vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.40-4.81vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-5.79vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.15-6.00vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.12Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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8.55Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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5.64Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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5.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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6.39Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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4.68Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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11.14Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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12.62University of Vermont1.280.0%1st Place
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8.8Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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10.96Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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5.83Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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11.27Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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11.18Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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9.19Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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9.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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10.0University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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15.44Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Reineke | 10.0% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Maia Agerup | 11.4% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Emily Haig | 9.8% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ragna Agerup | 15.3% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 4.2% |
| Elizabeth Holiman | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 20.3% | 15.2% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 4.6% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.9% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Slack | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 4.7% |
| Grace Vincens | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 5.9% |
| Talia Toland | 3.2% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Rebecca Read | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 2.4% |
| Megan Laurie | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 14.3% | 59.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.