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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+4.67vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+3.90vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+6.22vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.75+7.37vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.35+0.58vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.06+0.79vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.40+2.03vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.72-3.44vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.28+4.03vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.36-0.87vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.50-2.22vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.50-3.32vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.15-6.55vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.86-2.87vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18+0.36vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.82-4.82vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.82-5.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.67Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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5.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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9.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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11.37Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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5.58Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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6.79Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.03Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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4.56Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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13.03University of Vermont1.280.0%1st Place
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9.13University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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8.78Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.68Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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6.45Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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11.13Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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15.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.0%1st Place
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11.18Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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11.14Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 12.2% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Haig | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Kelsey Slack | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 5.8% |
| Maia Agerup | 12.7% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Giblin | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Talia Toland | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Ragna Agerup | 16.5% | 16.3% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Holiman | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 14.3% | 22.2% | 14.4% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Sophia Reineke | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 5.3% |
| Megan Laurie | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 12.2% | 60.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 4.1% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.