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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.50+7.33vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+3.48vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.15+3.18vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+5.17vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.35+0.45vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.06+0.65vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.50+1.55vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-2.25vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.40+0.05vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.86+0.76vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.36-1.79vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.64-0.40vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.28-0.12vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.18-7.83vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.82-4.07vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.75-4.64vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.33Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.48Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.18Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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9.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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5.45Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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6.65Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.55Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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5.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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9.05Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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10.76Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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9.21University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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11.6Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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12.88University of Vermont1.280.0%1st Place
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6.17Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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10.93Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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11.36Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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15.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Wilmot | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 12.1% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 0.6% |
| Maia Agerup | 13.4% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Emily Haig | 13.0% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 3.5% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Victoria Pajak | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 6.5% |
| Elizabeth Holiman | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 21.7% | 14.8% |
| Hannah Steadman | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 3.9% |
| Kelsey Slack | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 6.0% |
| Megan Laurie | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 11.9% | 61.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.