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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.88+0.88vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University-0.91+4.19vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-0.76+3.09vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-0.30+0.83vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University0.97-1.82vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-0.22-0.93vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-0.15-3.21vs Predicted
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8Unknown School-0.62-2.21vs Predicted
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9University of Toledo-2.87-0.15vs Predicted
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10Saginaw Valley State University-3.37-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88University of Michigan1.8847.9%1st Place
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6.19Grand Valley State University-0.912.8%1st Place
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6.09Michigan State University-0.762.8%1st Place
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4.83Michigan Technological University-0.306.4%1st Place
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3.18Michigan Technological University0.9716.6%1st Place
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5.07Unknown School-0.226.5%1st Place
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3.79Northern Michigan University-0.1512.9%1st Place
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5.79Unknown School-0.623.5%1st Place
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8.85University of Toledo-2.870.4%1st Place
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9.32Saginaw Valley State University-3.370.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Puertas | 47.9% | 28.5% | 14.8% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed Rossell | 2.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 18.9% | 23.8% | 8.7% | 1.1% |
| Kellan Gatt | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 18.6% | 22.7% | 7.0% | 1.2% |
| Alex Cross | 6.4% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 8.8% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 16.6% | 23.0% | 22.6% | 16.9% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Casey Dietsch | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 10.8% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
| Marco Constantini | 12.9% | 15.7% | 17.4% | 19.1% | 15.8% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Josh Hacker | 3.5% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 18.4% | 17.4% | 6.5% | 0.9% |
| Cooper Avery | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 8.6% | 43.0% | 36.6% |
| Piper Luke | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 5.0% | 28.6% | 60.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.