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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges5.05+3.28vs Predicted
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2Harvard University4.50+4.02vs Predicted
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3Brown University4.49+3.02vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida4.17+3.07vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin2.85+7.77vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University4.74-0.77vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.26+3.92vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.78+0.84vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.99+2.71vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University3.36+0.26vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.07+0.56vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.81-3.21vs Predicted
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13University of Miami3.50-3.43vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.03-2.11vs Predicted
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15University of Washington1.80+0.76vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College3.00-4.25vs Predicted
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17Yale University2.64-3.83vs Predicted
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18Washington College2.29-3.48vs Predicted
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19University of Vermont3.37-9.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges5.050.2%1st Place
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6.02Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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6.02Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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7.07University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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12.77University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
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5.23Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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10.92St. Mary's College of Maryland3.260.0%1st Place
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8.84College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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11.71U. S. Naval Academy2.990.0%1st Place
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10.26Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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11.56Stanford University3.070.0%1st Place
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8.79Tufts University3.810.0%1st Place
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9.57University of Miami3.500.0%1st Place
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11.89Old Dominion University3.030.0%1st Place
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15.76University of Washington1.800.0%1st Place
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11.75SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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13.17Yale University2.640.0%1st Place
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14.52Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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9.87University of Vermont3.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Booth | 17.1% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tedd Himler | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Fred Strammer | 10.7% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Marks | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Fox | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 6.6% |
| Chris Barnard | 15.5% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Lamphere | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Erik Bowers | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| George Prieto | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 4.5% |
| Kyle Carney | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Oliver Riihiluoma | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 3.9% |
| Andrew Criezis | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Weiksnar | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% |
| Collin Leon | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 4.5% |
| William Wilder | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 14.1% | 38.7% |
| Ted Green | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 4.0% |
| John Vrolyk | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 11.1% |
| Mildred Conroy | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 20.0% |
| Pete Hazelett | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.