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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+1.02vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.52+1.04vs Predicted
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3University of British Columbia0.90-0.43vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University0.88-1.35vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-1.62-0.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02University of Washington1.530.4%1st Place
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3.04Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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2.57University of British Columbia0.900.2%1st Place
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2.65Oregon State University0.880.2%1st Place
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4.72University of Oregon-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Skeel | 42.0% | 28.0% | 18.1% | 10.0% | 1.9% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 13.1% | 18.9% | 25.8% | 35.1% | 7.1% |
| Elmeri Hakkinen | 23.0% | 25.9% | 25.3% | 22.5% | 3.3% |
| Michael Levy | 20.7% | 25.3% | 26.3% | 23.5% | 4.2% |
| Duncan Jackson | 1.2% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 83.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.