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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.28+0.91vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.29-0.16vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College0.21+0.93vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.63-0.52vs Predicted
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5Sacred Heart University-1.28+0.46vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.18-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.91University of Rhode Island2.280.4%1st Place
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1.84Tufts University2.290.4%1st Place
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3.93Middlebury College0.210.1%1st Place
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3.48University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.630.1%1st Place
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5.46Sacred Heart University-1.280.0%1st Place
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4.39Middlebury College-0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael O'Flaherty | 39.1% | 38.9% | 16.1% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Bram Brakman | 44.3% | 33.7% | 16.9% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Anna Spiro | 5.9% | 7.3% | 20.9% | 29.3% | 27.3% | 9.3% |
| Jack Eberhardt | 7.2% | 12.9% | 29.9% | 28.5% | 17.9% | 3.6% |
| Wynn Simmons | 0.6% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 8.0% | 15.9% | 69.8% |
| Hanna Mass | 2.9% | 5.4% | 12.3% | 25.9% | 36.3% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.