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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.28+0.91vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.63+1.62vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.29-1.13vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College0.21+0.18vs Predicted
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5Sacred Heart University-1.28+0.91vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.18-1.35vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-1.33-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.91University of Rhode Island2.280.4%1st Place
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3.62University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.630.1%1st Place
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1.87Tufts University2.290.4%1st Place
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4.18Middlebury College0.210.0%1st Place
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5.91Sacred Heart University-1.280.0%1st Place
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4.65Middlebury College-0.180.0%1st Place
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5.86University of Connecticut-1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael O'Flaherty | 40.6% | 36.5% | 16.0% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Eberhardt | 7.8% | 11.4% | 27.6% | 27.1% | 17.3% | 7.4% | 1.4% |
| Bram Brakman | 41.7% | 36.9% | 15.2% | 5.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Anna Spiro | 4.3% | 7.1% | 19.8% | 24.7% | 27.2% | 13.4% | 3.5% |
| Wynn Simmons | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 13.9% | 29.8% | 42.5% |
| Hanna Mass | 2.9% | 5.4% | 12.4% | 22.7% | 26.1% | 20.7% | 9.8% |
| Sarah Woodward | 1.6% | 1.2% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 13.6% | 28.4% | 42.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.