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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.28+0.88vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.29-0.10vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.63+0.63vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut-1.33+2.02vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-0.18-0.36vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College0.21-1.86vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University-1.28-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88University of Rhode Island2.280.4%1st Place
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1.9Tufts University2.290.4%1st Place
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3.63University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.630.1%1st Place
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6.02University of Connecticut-1.330.0%1st Place
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4.64Middlebury College-0.180.0%1st Place
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4.14Middlebury College0.210.0%1st Place
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5.79Sacred Heart University-1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael O'Flaherty | 43.4% | 33.8% | 16.4% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bram Brakman | 40.0% | 38.8% | 14.8% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Eberhardt | 7.3% | 11.2% | 28.9% | 27.3% | 16.1% | 7.5% | 1.7% |
| Sarah Woodward | 0.4% | 1.0% | 3.7% | 7.3% | 13.1% | 27.3% | 47.2% |
| Hanna Mass | 2.9% | 5.2% | 13.2% | 19.9% | 29.3% | 21.4% | 8.1% |
| Anna Spiro | 4.6% | 8.0% | 19.0% | 26.4% | 24.2% | 14.3% | 3.5% |
| Wynn Simmons | 1.4% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 29.1% | 39.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.