← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University2.29+0.89vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island2.28-0.15vs Predicted
-
3University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.63+0.45vs Predicted
-
4Middlebury College0.21-0.02vs Predicted
-
5Sacred Heart University-1.28+0.45vs Predicted
-
6Middlebury College-0.18-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.89Tufts University2.290.4%1st Place
-
1.85University of Rhode Island2.280.4%1st Place
-
3.45University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.630.1%1st Place
-
3.98Middlebury College0.210.0%1st Place
-
5.45Sacred Heart University-1.280.0%1st Place
-
4.39Middlebury College-0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bram Brakman | 39.4% | 39.0% | 16.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 44.0% | 32.8% | 18.4% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Eberhardt | 8.7% | 12.3% | 29.6% | 28.5% | 16.8% | 4.1% |
| Anna Spiro | 4.3% | 8.6% | 18.8% | 31.7% | 26.8% | 9.8% |
| Wynn Simmons | 0.6% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 17.0% | 68.8% |
| Hanna Mass | 3.0% | 5.4% | 12.5% | 25.1% | 36.7% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.