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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.28+0.89vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.29-0.14vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.63+0.43vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College0.21-0.06vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-0.18-0.56vs Predicted
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6Sacred Heart University-1.28-0.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.89University of Rhode Island2.280.4%1st Place
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1.86Tufts University2.290.4%1st Place
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3.43University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.630.1%1st Place
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3.94Middlebury College0.210.0%1st Place
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4.44Middlebury College-0.180.0%1st Place
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5.44Sacred Heart University-1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael O'Flaherty | 39.6% | 38.7% | 15.9% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Bram Brakman | 44.1% | 32.2% | 18.3% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Eberhardt | 9.1% | 12.4% | 28.9% | 28.8% | 17.6% | 3.2% |
| Anna Spiro | 4.4% | 8.5% | 20.5% | 30.5% | 27.5% | 8.6% |
| Hanna Mass | 2.0% | 6.4% | 13.1% | 23.5% | 34.0% | 21.0% |
| Wynn Simmons | 0.8% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 8.3% | 18.8% | 67.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.