← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University2.29+0.90vs Predicted
-
2University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.63+1.46vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island2.28-1.15vs Predicted
-
4Middlebury College0.21-0.07vs Predicted
-
5Middlebury College-0.18-0.57vs Predicted
-
6Sacred Heart University-1.28-0.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.9Tufts University2.290.4%1st Place
-
3.46University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.630.1%1st Place
-
1.85University of Rhode Island2.280.4%1st Place
-
3.93Middlebury College0.210.1%1st Place
-
4.43Middlebury College-0.180.0%1st Place
-
5.43Sacred Heart University-1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bram Brakman | 39.7% | 38.2% | 15.3% | 5.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jack Eberhardt | 7.5% | 13.4% | 30.9% | 26.2% | 18.0% | 4.0% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 43.1% | 35.1% | 16.9% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Anna Spiro | 6.2% | 6.0% | 20.8% | 31.0% | 27.4% | 8.6% |
| Hanna Mass | 2.6% | 5.7% | 12.8% | 25.0% | 33.1% | 20.8% |
| Wynn Simmons | 0.9% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 8.3% | 19.7% | 66.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.