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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.28+0.89vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.29-0.16vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.63+0.45vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-0.18+0.39vs Predicted
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5Sacred Heart University-1.28+0.45vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College0.21-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.89University of Rhode Island2.280.4%1st Place
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1.84Tufts University2.290.4%1st Place
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3.45University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.630.1%1st Place
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4.39Middlebury College-0.180.0%1st Place
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5.45Sacred Heart University-1.280.0%1st Place
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3.98Middlebury College0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael O'Flaherty | 39.7% | 38.9% | 16.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Bram Brakman | 44.1% | 33.5% | 17.0% | 4.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jack Eberhardt | 8.7% | 12.2% | 28.3% | 30.8% | 16.3% | 3.7% |
| Hanna Mass | 3.0% | 5.8% | 13.1% | 22.9% | 37.7% | 17.5% |
| Wynn Simmons | 0.6% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 8.2% | 15.7% | 69.5% |
| Anna Spiro | 3.9% | 7.7% | 21.5% | 29.7% | 27.9% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.