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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.29+1.23vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.28+0.23vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.78-0.17vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.63+0.31vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College0.21-0.17vs Predicted
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6Sacred Heart University-1.28+0.37vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.18-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23Tufts University2.290.4%1st Place
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2.23University of Rhode Island2.280.3%1st Place
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2.83Northeastern University1.780.2%1st Place
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4.31University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.630.1%1st Place
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4.83Middlebury College0.210.0%1st Place
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6.37Sacred Heart University-1.280.0%1st Place
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5.2Middlebury College-0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bram Brakman | 35.1% | 28.7% | 20.4% | 11.1% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 32.6% | 30.9% | 22.2% | 9.7% | 4.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Niles | 19.4% | 22.8% | 27.9% | 17.7% | 9.4% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Jack Eberhardt | 5.3% | 7.2% | 14.4% | 24.3% | 26.9% | 17.3% | 4.6% |
| Anna Spiro | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 19.8% | 27.8% | 24.6% | 11.6% |
| Wynn Simmons | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 16.6% | 67.4% |
| Hanna Mass | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 13.1% | 20.2% | 37.5% | 16.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.