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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.42+1.83vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.29+3.09vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.77+1.02vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.16+0.99vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.35-0.40vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.50-1.59vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.93-3.36vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.27-1.45vs Predicted
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9American University-1.94-0.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83Georgetown University3.420.3%1st Place
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5.09Georgetown University2.290.1%1st Place
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4.02George Washington University2.770.1%1st Place
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4.99Georgetown University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.6George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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4.41U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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3.64Georgetown University2.930.2%1st Place
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6.55Old Dominion University1.270.0%1st Place
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8.87American University-1.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Loftus | 29.6% | 21.7% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Clay Broussard | 6.2% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 17.8% | 16.6% | 13.4% | 0.5% |
| Adam DiDomizio | 14.2% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 9.7% | 4.0% | 0.1% |
| Noah Kelleher | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 18.8% | 13.4% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Bennett | 9.7% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 10.5% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 16.3% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Person | 17.1% | 17.4% | 15.8% | 15.9% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Brendon Wilkins | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 17.4% | 46.2% | 2.8% |
| Jordan Manowitz | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 94.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.