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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.15+3.86vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.60+4.94vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.73+2.19vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.22+3.57vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+4.42vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.10+2.55vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.73-0.62vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.98+1.02vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.39+0.64vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.48+0.61vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.20-2.73vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.58-1.03vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-0.53vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.59-2.15vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.68-8.30vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.64-6.13vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-0.02-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.86Stanford University3.1514.9%1st Place
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6.94U. S. Naval Academy2.609.6%1st Place
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5.19Yale University2.7311.9%1st Place
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7.57Tufts University2.227.1%1st Place
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9.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.773.9%1st Place
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8.55Jacksonville University2.105.1%1st Place
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6.38Brown University2.739.8%1st Place
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9.02Fordham University1.984.2%1st Place
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9.64Boston University1.393.8%1st Place
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10.61Bowdoin College1.483.2%1st Place
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8.27Boston College2.205.9%1st Place
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10.97University of Pennsylvania1.582.5%1st Place
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12.47U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.991.8%1st Place
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11.85Northeastern University1.592.5%1st Place
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6.7Roger Williams University2.689.2%1st Place
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9.87University of Michigan1.643.3%1st Place
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14.68SUNY Maritime College-0.021.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 14.9% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Smith | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jack Egan | 11.9% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Owen Bannasch | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Guthrie Braun | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Zils | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 2.5% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 4.6% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Cole Woodworth | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 5.7% |
| Reed McAllister | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 18.1% | 15.8% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 11.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Braden Vogel | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 2.9% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 14.5% | 50.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.