Race 3A

robert-arrigan

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Parker Loftus 29.2% 21.6% 18.1% 12.5% 9.5% 5.0% 3.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Adam DiDomizio 11.7% 14.3% 15.6% 16.3% 13.8% 12.6% 9.9% 5.6% 0.2%
Andrew Bennett 8.9% 10.2% 11.7% 11.7% 15.2% 14.9% 16.4% 10.5% 0.5%
Andrew Person 18.0% 19.3% 16.1% 15.8% 11.8% 10.0% 6.5% 2.5% 0.0%
Noah Kelleher 8.3% 9.9% 12.3% 11.1% 12.6% 14.1% 16.5% 14.3% 0.9%
Clay Broussard 8.8% 9.3% 11.2% 13.1% 13.0% 18.0% 16.6% 9.5% 0.5%
Nicholas Gartner 11.5% 11.5% 10.9% 13.6% 17.3% 15.2% 12.5% 7.2% 0.3%
Brendon Wilkins 3.4% 3.8% 3.9% 5.6% 6.4% 9.5% 16.7% 47.9% 2.8%
Jordan Manowitz 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.7% 1.0% 2.3% 94.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.