Race 4A

robert-arrigan

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Clay Broussard 9.1% 11.9% 10.5% 9.4% 14.6% 15.6% 18.2% 10.2% 0.5%
Nicholas Gartner 8.3% 10.5% 13.3% 14.4% 14.9% 16.6% 13.0% 8.3% 0.7%
Parker Loftus 27.7% 22.3% 17.1% 14.5% 9.4% 6.1% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Adam DiDomizio 14.9% 15.9% 15.4% 15.8% 13.4% 10.7% 9.5% 4.3% 0.1%
Andrew Bennett 9.9% 11.3% 12.3% 14.0% 11.9% 14.3% 14.9% 10.5% 0.9%
Brendon Wilkins 3.6% 2.6% 4.2% 6.7% 7.6% 10.0% 15.4% 47.4% 2.5%
Andrew Person 17.3% 17.0% 16.4% 15.4% 14.9% 9.3% 7.7% 2.0% 0.0%
Noah Kelleher 9.0% 8.2% 10.8% 9.6% 12.9% 16.5% 17.4% 14.9% 0.7%
Jordan Manowitz 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.9% 1.4% 2.0% 94.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.