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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.35+3.73vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.50+2.65vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.77+1.00vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.42-1.27vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.29-0.27vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.93-2.40vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.16-1.85vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.27-1.47vs Predicted
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9American University-1.94-0.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.73George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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4.65U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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4.0George Washington University2.770.1%1st Place
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2.73Georgetown University3.420.3%1st Place
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4.73Georgetown University2.290.1%1st Place
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3.6Georgetown University2.930.2%1st Place
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5.15Georgetown University2.160.1%1st Place
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6.53Old Dominion University1.270.0%1st Place
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8.87American University-1.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Bennett | 9.6% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 9.7% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 8.5% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 8.5% | 0.4% |
| Adam DiDomizio | 14.5% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Parker Loftus | 29.5% | 24.7% | 17.0% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Clay Broussard | 8.6% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 15.9% | 11.6% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Person | 18.0% | 16.1% | 16.9% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Noah Kelleher | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 17.7% | 18.7% | 13.6% | 1.0% |
| Brendon Wilkins | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 16.0% | 46.5% | 3.0% |
| Jordan Manowitz | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 94.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.