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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.50+3.43vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.93+1.81vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.42-0.16vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.35+0.64vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.77-1.14vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.16-0.94vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.27-0.37vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.29-3.14vs Predicted
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9American University-1.94-0.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.43U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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3.81Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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2.84Georgetown University3.420.3%1st Place
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4.64George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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3.86George Washington University2.770.2%1st Place
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5.06Georgetown University2.160.1%1st Place
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6.63Old Dominion University1.270.0%1st Place
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4.86Georgetown University2.290.1%1st Place
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8.86American University-1.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Gartner | 11.8% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Person | 12.9% | 17.3% | 17.5% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
| Parker Loftus | 29.6% | 19.8% | 18.6% | 13.4% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bennett | 9.4% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 15.9% | 14.2% | 9.4% | 0.3% |
| Adam DiDomizio | 15.6% | 18.6% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 0.4% |
| Noah Kelleher | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 20.4% | 12.4% | 0.5% |
| Brendon Wilkins | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 15.9% | 47.5% | 3.4% |
| Clay Broussard | 9.9% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 17.9% | 11.5% | 0.6% |
| Jordan Manowitz | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 94.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.