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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.42+1.86vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.93+1.79vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.77+1.01vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.16+1.02vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.29-0.30vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.50-1.56vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.35-2.25vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.27-1.44vs Predicted
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9American University-1.94-0.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86Georgetown University3.420.3%1st Place
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3.79Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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4.01George Washington University2.770.1%1st Place
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5.02Georgetown University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.7Georgetown University2.290.1%1st Place
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4.44U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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4.75George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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6.56Old Dominion University1.270.0%1st Place
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8.87American University-1.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Loftus | 29.0% | 21.5% | 17.5% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Person | 13.7% | 18.3% | 17.1% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 0.1% |
| Adam DiDomizio | 14.9% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 16.6% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 4.2% | 0.1% |
| Noah Kelleher | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 15.1% | 18.1% | 13.7% | 0.7% |
| Clay Broussard | 9.0% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 11.2% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 11.2% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 12.1% | 7.6% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Bennett | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 16.5% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 10.1% | 0.3% |
| Brendon Wilkins | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 17.1% | 46.7% | 3.0% |
| Jordan Manowitz | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 94.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.