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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.37+1.07vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.73+0.98vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.67+3.54vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina0.75+2.21vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.97-0.98vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.77-1.59vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.30-1.65vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology0.82-1.80vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.19-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.07College of Charleston3.370.4%1st Place
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2.98University of South Florida2.730.2%1st Place
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6.54Clemson University0.670.0%1st Place
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6.21University of South Carolina0.750.0%1st Place
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4.02University of Miami1.970.1%1st Place
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4.41Eckerd College1.770.1%1st Place
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5.35Jacksonville University1.300.1%1st Place
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6.2Georgia Institute of Technology0.820.0%1st Place
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7.22University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alie Toppa | 43.2% | 27.4% | 15.9% | 8.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 19.5% | 25.5% | 21.6% | 16.2% | 9.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Carrie Marshall | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 17.7% | 20.8% | 20.1% |
| Sarah DeLoach | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 17.4% | 16.7% |
| Kaitlyn DeLisser | 11.6% | 15.8% | 17.1% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Hana Zwick | 8.6% | 10.8% | 15.1% | 18.3% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Shaynah True | 5.8% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 5.5% |
| Megan Ploch | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 18.4% | 17.7% | 16.1% |
| Ashlyn Park | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 13.6% | 21.4% | 37.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.