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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.37+1.05vs Predicted
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2Georgia Institute of Technology0.82+4.38vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.73-0.09vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.30+1.24vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.97-0.99vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.19+1.22vs Predicted
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7Clemson University0.67-0.49vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina0.75-1.72vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.77-4.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.05College of Charleston3.370.4%1st Place
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6.38Georgia Institute of Technology0.820.0%1st Place
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2.91University of South Florida2.730.2%1st Place
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5.24Jacksonville University1.300.1%1st Place
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4.01University of Miami1.970.1%1st Place
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7.22University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.190.0%1st Place
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6.51Clemson University0.670.0%1st Place
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6.28University of South Carolina0.750.0%1st Place
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4.4Eckerd College1.770.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alie Toppa | 42.2% | 29.6% | 14.9% | 9.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Ploch | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 15.6% | 18.7% | 18.3% | 17.3% |
| Sarah Streater | 22.7% | 23.4% | 20.7% | 16.3% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Shaynah True | 5.6% | 6.3% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 16.3% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 5.2% |
| Kaitlyn DeLisser | 10.9% | 16.3% | 17.8% | 16.5% | 14.2% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Ashlyn Park | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 20.2% | 37.6% |
| Carrie Marshall | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 19.8% | 19.5% | 19.6% |
| Sarah DeLoach | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 15.3% | 18.7% | 17.8% |
| Hana Zwick | 9.1% | 10.1% | 16.0% | 16.7% | 18.1% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 5.6% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.