← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida2.73+1.89vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston3.37+0.14vs Predicted
-
3Georgia Institute of Technology0.82+3.26vs Predicted
-
4University of Miami1.97+0.02vs Predicted
-
5Clemson University0.67+1.34vs Predicted
-
6Eckerd College1.77-1.60vs Predicted
-
7Jacksonville University1.30-1.66vs Predicted
-
8University of South Carolina0.75-1.65vs Predicted
-
9University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.19-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.89University of South Florida2.730.2%1st Place
-
2.14College of Charleston3.370.4%1st Place
-
6.26Georgia Institute of Technology0.820.0%1st Place
-
4.02University of Miami1.970.1%1st Place
-
6.34Clemson University0.670.0%1st Place
-
4.4Eckerd College1.770.1%1st Place
-
5.34Jacksonville University1.300.1%1st Place
-
6.35University of South Carolina0.750.0%1st Place
-
7.25University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Streater | 24.2% | 23.6% | 20.0% | 14.8% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 39.7% | 29.4% | 16.8% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Ploch | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 17.4% | 21.1% | 14.8% |
| Kaitlyn DeLisser | 11.4% | 13.9% | 17.6% | 17.7% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Carrie Marshall | 2.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 19.8% | 19.4% |
| Hana Zwick | 8.6% | 10.6% | 15.5% | 16.8% | 17.9% | 14.6% | 10.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Shaynah True | 5.5% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 16.0% | 11.6% | 5.9% |
| Sarah DeLoach | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 18.3% | 20.4% | 17.0% |
| Ashlyn Park | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 19.3% | 39.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.