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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.37+1.04vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.73+1.00vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.77+1.51vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.30+1.25vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina0.75+1.19vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.97-1.93vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology0.82-0.75vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.19-0.77vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.67-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.04College of Charleston3.370.4%1st Place
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3.0University of South Florida2.730.2%1st Place
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4.51Eckerd College1.770.1%1st Place
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5.25Jacksonville University1.300.1%1st Place
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6.19University of South Carolina0.750.0%1st Place
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4.07University of Miami1.970.1%1st Place
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6.25Georgia Institute of Technology0.820.0%1st Place
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7.23University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.190.0%1st Place
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6.46Clemson University0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alie Toppa | 44.0% | 27.2% | 16.2% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 20.1% | 25.9% | 20.1% | 15.4% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Hana Zwick | 7.2% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 1.6% |
| Shaynah True | 5.7% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 5.8% |
| Sarah DeLoach | 3.1% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 17.7% | 17.8% |
| Kaitlyn DeLisser | 11.0% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 19.5% | 17.1% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Megan Ploch | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 17.8% | 20.7% | 14.3% |
| Ashlyn Park | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 13.8% | 19.9% | 38.7% |
| Carrie Marshall | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 16.8% | 19.8% | 20.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.