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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.16+2.07vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.26+2.75vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.93+2.21vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.53+1.82vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.50-0.90vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.09-4.11vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.66+0.83vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology0.45-1.96vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina0.31-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07University of South Florida2.160.2%1st Place
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4.75University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
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5.21Jacksonville University0.930.0%1st Place
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5.82Clemson University0.530.0%1st Place
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4.1Eckerd College1.500.1%1st Place
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1.89College of Charleston3.090.5%1st Place
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7.83University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.660.0%1st Place
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6.04Georgia Institute of Technology0.450.0%1st Place
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6.3University of South Carolina0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Barzaghi | 18.1% | 24.0% | 23.0% | 15.4% | 11.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Keefe | 5.2% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 18.0% | 16.8% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 6.9% | 2.2% |
| Kelsy Waack | 4.5% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 16.3% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 10.8% | 4.4% |
| Jenn Casey | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 17.7% | 15.5% | 18.5% | 8.6% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 10.5% | 15.1% | 18.2% | 15.1% | 15.6% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 1.5% |
| Paris Henken | 49.6% | 26.3% | 14.0% | 7.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maria Teresa Felix | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 16.3% | 56.0% |
| Maggie Royal | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 16.2% | 20.2% | 12.5% |
| Keara Paquette | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 18.9% | 21.5% | 14.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.