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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.10+7.67vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.20+6.23vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.22+4.54vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.15+0.75vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.73+1.37vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.58+4.98vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.60-0.27vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.98+0.77vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.68-2.22vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.48+0.76vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.59+0.79vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan1.64-1.94vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-0.49vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.73-8.94vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.39-5.21vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-6.47vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-0.02-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.67Jacksonville University2.105.3%1st Place
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8.23Boston College2.205.3%1st Place
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7.54Tufts University2.226.8%1st Place
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4.75Stanford University3.1515.4%1st Place
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6.37Brown University2.739.3%1st Place
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10.98University of Pennsylvania1.582.4%1st Place
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6.73U. S. Naval Academy2.608.0%1st Place
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8.77Fordham University1.985.8%1st Place
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6.78Roger Williams University2.689.2%1st Place
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10.76Bowdoin College1.482.8%1st Place
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11.79Northeastern University1.591.8%1st Place
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10.06University of Michigan1.643.8%1st Place
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12.51U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.991.4%1st Place
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5.06Yale University2.7314.5%1st Place
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9.79Boston University1.393.2%1st Place
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9.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.774.0%1st Place
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14.69SUNY Maritime College-0.020.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 15.4% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Guthrie Braun | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Cole Woodworth | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 6.3% |
| Nathan Smith | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Zils | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Carlos de Castro | 9.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 5.5% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 10.6% |
| Braden Vogel | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 3.8% |
| Reed McAllister | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 18.1% | 14.8% |
| Jack Egan | 14.5% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 14.6% | 49.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.