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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.09+0.99vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.15+3.12vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.16+0.20vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.86-0.41vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.53+0.90vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina0.31+0.42vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology0.45-0.76vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.66-0.17vs Predicted
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9University of Miami1.26-4.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.99College of Charleston3.090.5%1st Place
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5.12Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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3.2University of South Florida2.160.2%1st Place
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3.59Jacksonville University1.860.1%1st Place
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5.9Clemson University0.530.0%1st Place
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6.42University of South Carolina0.310.0%1st Place
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6.24Georgia Institute of Technology0.450.0%1st Place
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7.83University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.660.0%1st Place
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4.7University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Henken | 45.5% | 28.2% | 13.5% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Salomon | 4.5% | 7.3% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 16.1% | 16.6% | 14.9% | 9.8% | 4.0% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 18.0% | 21.8% | 20.5% | 16.5% | 12.4% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Paula Resto | 14.0% | 19.3% | 18.5% | 16.6% | 14.8% | 9.9% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Jenn Casey | 3.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 17.1% | 18.8% | 10.5% |
| Keara Paquette | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 18.7% | 23.8% | 15.1% |
| Maggie Royal | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 11.5% | 15.9% | 19.5% | 21.5% | 12.0% |
| Maria Teresa Felix | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 17.3% | 55.5% |
| Olivia Keefe | 7.5% | 9.0% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 17.2% | 12.1% | 6.7% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.