Race 1A

otoole

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Sean Beaulieu 20.2% 22.4% 21.0% 18.1% 10.5% 6.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Gabriel Hannon 13.3% 18.5% 17.2% 20.9% 16.7% 10.8% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Brian Baker 11.5% 15.3% 17.2% 18.5% 18.9% 14.2% 4.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Shannon McKeown 0.8% 0.4% 1.9% 1.3% 3.5% 7.4% 40.2% 30.0% 14.5%
John Duncan 6.6% 11.1% 11.0% 14.3% 20.6% 25.3% 9.5% 1.6% 0.0%
Nick Jaczko 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.8% 2.1% 4.0% 20.9% 39.4% 31.3%
Braden Foster 7.4% 8.0% 10.2% 15.3% 21.0% 28.2% 8.6% 1.3% 0.0%
Luke Haggerty 0.6% 0.3% 0.4% 1.0% 1.3% 2.0% 13.5% 26.7% 54.2%
Thomas Harden 39.3% 23.4% 20.5% 9.8% 5.4% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.