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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.80+1.33vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.94+1.45vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15+1.74vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.21-0.96vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.69-1.21vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.08-1.23vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.16+0.99vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut-0.67-0.74vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.75-0.41vs Predicted
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10Amherst College-2.18-0.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33University of Vermont2.800.4%1st Place
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3.45Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
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4.74Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.1%1st Place
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3.04Salve Regina University2.210.2%1st Place
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3.79Salve Regina University1.690.1%1st Place
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4.77Tufts University1.080.1%1st Place
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7.99University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.160.0%1st Place
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7.26University of Connecticut-0.670.0%1st Place
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8.59Middlebury College-1.750.0%1st Place
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9.05Amherst College-2.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Harden | 37.4% | 26.3% | 16.7% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 14.5% | 19.0% | 20.1% | 17.6% | 15.6% | 9.6% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Braden Foster | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 20.0% | 26.8% | 11.8% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 18.4% | 23.1% | 21.4% | 19.5% | 10.7% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian Baker | 12.7% | 12.8% | 18.2% | 20.4% | 18.0% | 12.4% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Duncan | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 19.1% | 24.1% | 13.4% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Shannon McKeown | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 19.7% | 29.2% | 27.0% | 13.2% |
| Laura Crowley | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 8.9% | 28.4% | 29.0% | 16.1% | 4.9% |
| Nick Jaczko | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 10.7% | 19.1% | 32.4% | 30.4% |
| Luke Haggerty | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 6.9% | 14.6% | 22.9% | 51.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.