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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.80+1.31vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.21+1.06vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.94+0.48vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.69-0.16vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15-0.36vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.08-1.26vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-0.67+0.33vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.16-0.08vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.75-0.40vs Predicted
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10Amherst College-2.18-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31University of Vermont2.800.4%1st Place
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3.06Salve Regina University2.210.2%1st Place
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3.48Brown University1.940.2%1st Place
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3.84Salve Regina University1.690.1%1st Place
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4.64Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.1%1st Place
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4.74Tufts University1.080.1%1st Place
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7.33University of Connecticut-0.670.0%1st Place
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7.92University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.160.0%1st Place
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8.6Middlebury College-1.750.0%1st Place
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9.07Amherst College-2.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Harden | 37.9% | 26.4% | 16.5% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 19.6% | 22.6% | 20.7% | 17.2% | 11.4% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 15.3% | 15.3% | 21.0% | 18.7% | 16.1% | 11.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Baker | 9.9% | 15.9% | 17.6% | 19.6% | 18.0% | 13.0% | 4.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Braden Foster | 7.8% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 21.9% | 22.5% | 11.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| John Duncan | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 14.9% | 17.6% | 24.5% | 12.8% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Laura Crowley | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 8.2% | 31.9% | 29.1% | 15.8% | 4.7% |
| Shannon McKeown | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 6.1% | 18.5% | 28.6% | 25.4% | 14.0% |
| Nick Jaczko | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 9.9% | 20.3% | 32.8% | 29.9% |
| Luke Haggerty | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 6.1% | 14.0% | 24.5% | 51.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.