Race 4A

otoole

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Thomas Harden 38.3% 26.7% 15.5% 10.6% 5.6% 2.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Brian Baker 11.5% 12.9% 18.3% 17.9% 19.9% 13.1% 5.2% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Sean Beaulieu 19.8% 20.6% 20.6% 18.3% 12.3% 6.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Gabriel Hannon 13.9% 18.9% 20.0% 20.2% 13.7% 10.2% 2.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Laura Crowley 1.6% 1.5% 2.4% 3.7% 4.1% 10.1% 26.6% 27.6% 17.5% 4.9%
John Duncan 7.4% 9.0% 9.2% 12.8% 19.3% 25.2% 12.5% 4.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Shannon McKeown 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 1.2% 2.3% 5.2% 18.2% 32.8% 24.8% 13.3%
Braden Foster 6.4% 8.9% 11.8% 14.5% 20.4% 21.4% 13.5% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Luke Haggerty 0.2% 0.3% 0.8% 0.1% 1.3% 2.0% 7.0% 12.6% 24.0% 51.7%
Nick Jaczko 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 1.1% 3.2% 12.6% 18.5% 32.6% 30.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.