Race 5A

otoole

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Thomas Harden 37.6% 27.1% 16.0% 10.0% 5.7% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Braden Foster 7.7% 7.8% 11.3% 13.9% 20.5% 23.6% 11.5% 3.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Gabriel Hannon 14.6% 17.3% 19.9% 18.0% 16.8% 10.5% 2.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Sean Beaulieu 18.6% 23.8% 21.6% 17.0% 11.1% 6.0% 1.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Brian Baker 13.4% 12.9% 16.3% 20.5% 17.2% 14.1% 4.3% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Shannon McKeown 0.7% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.9% 5.2% 18.7% 29.2% 25.2% 13.6%
Laura Crowley 0.9% 0.9% 1.4% 3.1% 3.5% 8.6% 32.2% 28.7% 15.2% 5.5%
John Duncan 5.9% 8.2% 11.2% 14.1% 19.7% 24.3% 11.8% 3.7% 1.0% 0.1%
Nick Jaczko 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.9% 1.6% 3.3% 9.7% 18.3% 36.4% 28.2%
Luke Haggerty 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 6.8% 15.3% 21.5% 52.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.