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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.13+2.84vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.59+1.21vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.27+0.63vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.99-0.02vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-0.82vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.39-2.59vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.84-0.22vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.21-0.88vs Predicted
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9Amherst College-3.92-0.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.84University of Vermont1.130.1%1st Place
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3.21Salve Regina University1.590.2%1st Place
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3.63Brown University1.270.2%1st Place
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3.98Tufts University0.990.1%1st Place
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4.18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.1%1st Place
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3.41Salve Regina University1.390.2%1st Place
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6.78University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.840.0%1st Place
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7.12Middlebury College-1.210.0%1st Place
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8.85Amherst College-3.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Gear | 14.4% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 16.9% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 6.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Joey Lark | 19.3% | 22.3% | 17.4% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 8.3% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Aryaman Dutta | 17.1% | 15.9% | 17.0% | 14.6% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 5.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Elena Gonick | 14.5% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 17.1% | 16.9% | 7.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Luke Turner | 11.5% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 16.3% | 17.0% | 10.9% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Caroline King | 19.3% | 16.9% | 17.2% | 17.2% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Isabel Rombult | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 10.5% | 35.6% | 36.0% | 3.2% |
| Vick Xu | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 24.4% | 51.4% | 5.0% |
| McLean Cozine | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 5.0% | 91.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.