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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.73+5.29vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.22+5.63vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.68+3.69vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.38+4.59vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.60+1.93vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.73-0.79vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.15-2.20vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University2.10+0.60vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.98-0.02vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.58+0.89vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.20-2.67vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-2.37vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-0.56vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan1.64-3.76vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.39-5.29vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.59-4.01vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-0.91-0.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.29Brown University2.739.4%1st Place
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7.63Tufts University2.226.1%1st Place
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6.69Roger Williams University2.689.6%1st Place
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8.59Bowdoin College2.385.5%1st Place
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6.93U. S. Naval Academy2.608.8%1st Place
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5.21Yale University2.7312.9%1st Place
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4.8Stanford University3.1514.6%1st Place
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8.6Jacksonville University2.104.8%1st Place
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8.98Fordham University1.984.8%1st Place
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10.89University of Pennsylvania1.582.9%1st Place
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8.33Boston College2.205.7%1st Place
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9.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.773.9%1st Place
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12.44U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.991.6%1st Place
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10.24University of Michigan1.643.4%1st Place
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9.71Boston University1.394.5%1st Place
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11.99Northeastern University1.591.5%1st Place
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16.06SUNY Maritime College-0.910.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guthrie Braun | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Carlos de Castro | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Nathan Smith | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jack Egan | 12.9% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 14.6% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Zils | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Cole Woodworth | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 3.8% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 1.6% |
| Reed McAllister | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 13.6% | 22.9% | 8.8% |
| Braden Vogel | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 1.6% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 1.5% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 17.4% | 5.9% |
| Grace Wilson | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 9.8% | 74.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.