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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.39+2.38vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.99+2.13vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.59+0.13vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+0.32vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.27-1.39vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.13-2.20vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.84+0.10vs Predicted
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8Amherst College-3.92+1.76vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut-1.93-0.70vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-1.21-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38Salve Regina University1.390.2%1st Place
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4.13Tufts University0.990.1%1st Place
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3.13Salve Regina University1.590.2%1st Place
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4.32Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.1%1st Place
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3.61Brown University1.270.2%1st Place
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3.8University of Vermont1.130.2%1st Place
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7.1University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.840.0%1st Place
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9.76Amherst College-3.920.0%1st Place
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8.3University of Connecticut-1.930.0%1st Place
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7.46Middlebury College-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline King | 20.3% | 19.2% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 10.4% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elena Gonick | 12.1% | 12.1% | 16.9% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 18.3% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joey Lark | 22.2% | 21.2% | 17.0% | 15.1% | 13.3% | 8.5% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Turner | 10.0% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 16.2% | 19.1% | 16.1% | 11.0% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Aryaman Dutta | 15.3% | 18.0% | 16.6% | 17.7% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Gear | 16.1% | 13.7% | 16.6% | 15.1% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 6.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Isabel Rombult | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 9.7% | 27.7% | 32.2% | 15.5% | 1.3% |
| McLean Cozine | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 8.8% | 85.6% |
| Tara Schwenzfeier | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 10.3% | 20.0% | 51.5% | 9.6% |
| Vick Xu | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 22.4% | 34.0% | 23.0% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.