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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.27+2.63vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.13+2.03vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.99+1.14vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+0.25vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.59-1.96vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.39-2.62vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-1.21+0.44vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.84-1.06vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut-1.93-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.63Brown University1.270.2%1st Place
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4.03University of Vermont1.130.1%1st Place
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4.14Tufts University0.990.1%1st Place
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4.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.1%1st Place
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3.04Salve Regina University1.590.3%1st Place
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3.38Salve Regina University1.390.2%1st Place
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7.44Middlebury College-1.210.0%1st Place
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6.94University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.840.0%1st Place
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8.16University of Connecticut-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aryaman Dutta | 16.2% | 16.1% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 15.8% | 12.0% | 5.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Elliott Gear | 10.5% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 17.3% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 7.8% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Elena Gonick | 11.5% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 16.5% | 15.5% | 17.3% | 9.0% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Luke Turner | 12.0% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 18.4% | 18.3% | 9.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Joey Lark | 26.4% | 21.4% | 16.3% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Caroline King | 19.4% | 17.1% | 18.7% | 16.9% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 4.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Vick Xu | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 7.1% | 19.0% | 38.8% | 24.5% |
| Isabel Rombult | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 30.7% | 29.4% | 15.2% |
| Tara Schwenzfeier | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 10.3% | 22.1% | 58.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.