Race 4B

otoole

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Elliott Gear 15.5% 12.3% 15.0% 18.7% 15.6% 13.9% 7.1% 1.6% 0.3%
Elena Gonick 9.4% 12.0% 16.0% 15.0% 17.8% 17.6% 8.6% 2.8% 0.8%
Aryaman Dutta 16.4% 16.3% 15.6% 16.2% 14.5% 14.6% 5.0% 1.2% 0.2%
Joey Lark 24.3% 21.4% 18.3% 15.6% 9.7% 8.7% 1.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Caroline King 19.8% 21.6% 15.2% 14.0% 12.2% 11.5% 4.0% 1.6% 0.1%
Luke Turner 10.2% 11.6% 13.4% 14.2% 19.0% 17.3% 11.4% 2.8% 0.1%
Vick Xu 1.3% 1.6% 2.2% 2.3% 3.4% 6.0% 20.3% 38.4% 24.5%
Isabel Rombult 2.0% 2.5% 3.1% 2.9% 5.8% 8.1% 31.2% 29.2% 15.2%
Tara Schwenzfeier 1.1% 0.7% 1.2% 1.1% 2.0% 2.3% 10.5% 22.3% 58.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.