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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.99+3.08vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.27+1.80vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+1.37vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.13-0.23vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.39-1.68vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.84+0.95vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-1.93+1.21vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.59-4.91vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.21-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08Tufts University0.990.1%1st Place
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3.8Brown University1.270.1%1st Place
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4.37Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.1%1st Place
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3.77University of Vermont1.130.1%1st Place
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3.32Salve Regina University1.390.2%1st Place
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6.95University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.840.0%1st Place
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8.21University of Connecticut-1.930.0%1st Place
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3.09Salve Regina University1.590.3%1st Place
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7.4Middlebury College-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elena Gonick | 12.4% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 16.1% | 17.8% | 15.5% | 9.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Aryaman Dutta | 12.4% | 16.6% | 16.9% | 17.4% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 6.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Luke Turner | 10.3% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 17.2% | 20.8% | 10.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Elliott Gear | 14.1% | 16.6% | 16.5% | 16.0% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Caroline King | 21.6% | 20.0% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 5.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Isabel Rombult | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 29.2% | 30.9% | 14.7% |
| Tara Schwenzfeier | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 7.9% | 24.0% | 59.5% |
| Joey Lark | 25.6% | 18.8% | 16.1% | 16.1% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Vick Xu | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 21.9% | 36.6% | 24.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.