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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+2.29vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.74+0.21vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.33+1.76vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.53+2.55vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay0.56+3.40vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii2.36-1.38vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.81-1.42vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-1.93vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.56-0.60vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine1.06-2.59vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.61-2.76vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.2%1st Place
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2.21Stanford University3.740.4%1st Place
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4.76University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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6.55University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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8.4California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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4.62University of Hawaii2.360.1%1st Place
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5.58California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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6.07Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
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8.4California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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7.41University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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8.24University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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8.88University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristopher Swanson | 17.4% | 21.7% | 20.8% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will La Dow | 40.8% | 25.6% | 16.4% | 10.0% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 8.4% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 12.5% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 15.3% | 19.5% | 25.3% | 0.0% |
| Cuylar Zimmerman | 9.9% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 15.3% | 19.5% | 25.3% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 15.5% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 10.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 21.5% | 20.4% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 19.7% | 34.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.