← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.74+1.24vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+1.21vs Predicted
-
3University of Southern California2.33+1.77vs Predicted
-
4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+2.37vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Cruz0.26+3.95vs Predicted
-
6University of Hawaii2.36-1.39vs Predicted
-
7California Poly Maritime Academy1.81-1.35vs Predicted
-
8California State University Monterey Bay0.56+0.32vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Irvine1.06-1.57vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Berkeley1.53-3.73vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Los Angeles0.61-2.81vs Predicted
-
12California State University Monterey Bay0.56-3.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.24Stanford University3.740.4%1st Place
-
3.21University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.2%1st Place
-
4.77University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
-
6.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
-
8.95University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
-
4.61University of Hawaii2.360.1%1st Place
-
5.65California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
-
8.32California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
-
7.43University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
-
6.27University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
-
8.19University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
-
8.32California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will La Dow | 37.9% | 27.1% | 18.2% | 10.2% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 20.7% | 21.7% | 19.3% | 14.7% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 9.2% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 18.6% | 37.8% | 0.0% |
| Cuylar Zimmerman | 9.5% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 15.9% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 15.3% | 18.6% | 24.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 15.3% | 16.6% | 15.2% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 4.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 15.8% | 20.8% | 19.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 15.3% | 18.6% | 24.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.