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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.53+5.45vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.74+0.19vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.14+2.10vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-0.74vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.33-0.45vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay0.56+2.44vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.61+1.13vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine1.06-0.74vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.56-0.56vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-3.74vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-2.14vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy1.81-6.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.45University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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2.19Stanford University3.740.4%1st Place
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5.1University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
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3.26University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.2%1st Place
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4.55University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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8.44California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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8.13University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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7.26University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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8.44California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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6.26Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
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8.86University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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5.51California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Solomon | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Will La Dow | 40.3% | 27.6% | 15.8% | 9.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 7.3% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 18.7% | 22.4% | 19.4% | 16.0% | 11.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 10.4% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 20.1% | 25.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 19.6% | 21.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 20.1% | 25.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 21.5% | 34.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 5.3% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.