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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.74+1.23vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+1.22vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.14+2.18vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+2.39vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay0.56+3.46vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.92+1.74vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.33-2.56vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.53-1.73vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine1.06-1.53vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy1.81-4.35vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay0.56-2.54vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-3.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23Stanford University3.740.4%1st Place
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3.22University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.2%1st Place
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5.18University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
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6.39Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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8.46California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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7.74University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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4.44University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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6.27University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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7.47University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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5.65California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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8.46California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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8.94University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will La Dow | 38.2% | 27.3% | 17.2% | 10.6% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 20.3% | 20.8% | 20.6% | 14.9% | 10.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 15.0% | 18.5% | 27.7% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 16.0% | 17.8% | 14.8% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 11.1% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 16.0% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 15.0% | 18.5% | 27.7% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 21.8% | 35.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.