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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.74+1.25vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+1.23vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.53+3.55vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+2.37vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.92+2.69vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine1.06+1.47vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.33-2.56vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii2.14-3.07vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.56-0.52vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy1.81-4.31vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-2.10vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay0.56-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25Stanford University3.740.4%1st Place
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3.23University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.2%1st Place
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6.55University of California at Berkeley1.530.1%1st Place
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6.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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7.69University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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7.47University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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4.44University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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4.93University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
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8.48California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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5.69California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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8.9University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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8.48California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will La Dow | 36.4% | 27.8% | 19.8% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 20.4% | 21.0% | 19.6% | 15.3% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 5.0% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 16.9% | 16.4% | 14.9% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 11.8% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 11.1% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 20.5% | 27.5% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 15.5% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 13.3% | 20.7% | 34.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 20.5% | 27.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.