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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara3.09+2.22vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.59+0.35vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.81+2.91vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+2.43vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.53+1.35vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.18-1.03vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii2.36-2.59vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.92-0.37vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.56-0.45vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay0.56-1.45vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-2.06vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine1.06-4.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.22University of California at Santa Barbara3.090.2%1st Place
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2.35Stanford University3.590.4%1st Place
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5.91California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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6.43Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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6.35University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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4.97University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
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4.41University of Hawaii2.360.1%1st Place
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7.63University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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8.55California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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8.55California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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8.94University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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7.25University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neil Stapleton | 19.1% | 24.2% | 17.1% | 15.9% | 11.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Parkin | 38.0% | 23.8% | 18.3% | 10.5% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 5.6% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 5.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 8.3% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Cuylar Zimmerman | 11.4% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 16.5% | 14.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 16.1% | 20.1% | 27.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 16.1% | 20.1% | 27.4% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 17.9% | 38.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 16.1% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.