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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+5.30vs Predicted
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2California State University Monterey Bay0.56+6.44vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara3.09+0.21vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.53+2.49vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.14-0.07vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.92+1.71vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay0.56+1.44vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine1.06-0.80vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California2.18-4.19vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-0.97vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.59-8.66vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy1.81-6.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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8.44California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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3.21University of California at Santa Barbara3.090.2%1st Place
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6.49University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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4.93University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
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7.71University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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8.44California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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7.2University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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4.81University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
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9.03University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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2.34Stanford University3.590.4%1st Place
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5.54California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Brough | 3.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 22.5% | 24.5% | 0.0% |
| Neil Stapleton | 20.5% | 21.4% | 20.1% | 14.6% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 9.0% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 18.0% | 14.7% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 22.5% | 24.5% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 9.3% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 14.7% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 12.2% | 19.0% | 39.7% | 0.0% |
| Jack Parkin | 37.9% | 25.7% | 17.1% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.